Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.65¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.65%
$24.8M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The resolution criteria clearly specify that the named individual must both win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources rather than third-party media consensus, which provides a reliable basis for determining the outcome. An explicit clause ensures that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not reverse a resolution once the nomination has occurred.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jon Stewart wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jon Stewart wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the resolution. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources decides the resolution.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
Consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.