Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.3¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.3%
$9M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market follows the standard outcome of the 2028 Democratic National Convention. Resolution requires the named individual to both win and accept the presidential nomination according to official party sources. The rules specify that subsequent replacements of the nominee prior to election day do not alter the outcome, ensuring resolution remains anchored strictly to the convention's formal nomination.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ruben Gallego wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president. Notably, any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not alter the resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ruben Gallego wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president. A subsequent replacement of the Democratic nominee before election day will not change this resolution. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources determines the outcome.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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