Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$23.3M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market has straightforward resolution criteria, resolving to Yes only if Mark Cuban officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The outcome relies on official Democratic Party sources rather than media speculation. A specific clause clarifies that if the nominee is replaced after winning and accepting the nomination, it does not alter the outcome. Resolution is tied directly to the formal conclusion of the 2028 nomination process, leaving minimal room for surprise.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Mark Cuban wins and accepts the Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president in 2028. A subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not alter the resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Mark Cuban wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change this resolution. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources decides the outcome.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
a consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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