Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$8.5M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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Resolution hinges on whether Graham Platner wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, verified by official party statements. The criteria align directly with the plain reading of the question. The rules explicitly clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not reverse an affirmative resolution once the nomination is won and accepted, eliminating ambiguity around post-convention candidate changes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Graham Platner will win and accept the Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Graham Platner wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if this condition is not met. Any subsequent replacement of the Democratic nominee before election day will not change the market's resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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