Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$31.8M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on whether Roy Cooper formally wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The resolution source relies on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources rather than citing a single specific official roll-call publication, but the outcome of a major party presidential nomination is generally definitive and public. The rules also clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not reverse or alter the resolution once the initial nomination is won and accepted.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Roy Cooper wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Roy Cooper wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. A subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not alter this outcome. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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