Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$36.5M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is clearly defined by whether the candidate wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources rather than a single specified website or document, but presidential party nominations are unambiguous public events. The rules also clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee after the formal acceptance will not reverse a positive resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jasmine Crockett wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president. Resolution remains unchanged even if the nominee is subsequently replaced before election day.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jasmine Crockett wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not alter this outcome. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources determines the resolution.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
Consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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