Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$826.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly align with the question, requiring the named candidate to both win and formally accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The resolution criteria explicitly state that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not alter the outcome once the nomination is secured. While the source is defined broadly as a consensus of official party sources rather than a single specific document or website, major party presidential nominations are definitive, public historical events with little room for dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Mitch Landrieu wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Notably, a subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not alter the market's resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Mitch Landrieu wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the market's resolution. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources decides the resolution.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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