Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$23.1M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria clearly align with the headline question, requiring the named individual to win and officially accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The outcome is determined by official Democratic Party sources, which provide clear and public confirmation via standard convention roll call and acceptance procedures. The rules also explicitly clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not alter an initial positive resolution, preventing ambiguity if post-convention candidate changes occur.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Stephen A. Smith secures and accepts the Democratic nomination for U.S. president in 2028. Notably, any replacement of the nominee before election day will not affect the resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Stephen A. Smith wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Any replacement of the Democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources decides the resolution.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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