Will Scott Colom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on whether the specified individual officially wins and accepts the Democratic presidential nomination for 2028.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on whether the specified individual officially wins and accepts the Democratic presidential nomination for 2028. The resolution source relies on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources rather than a single specified URL, leaving minor interpretation latitude to the resolver, but party nomination outcomes are unambiguous public milestones. The rules explicitly specify that any post-convention replacement of the nominee before election day does not reverse an earlier resolution.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Scott Colom will win and accept the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president. A notable condition is that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not alter the resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Scott Colom wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. Any replacement of the Democratic nominee prior to election day will not change this resolution. The market resolves to No otherwise. Resolution is decided by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·