Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
1.15¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.15%
$15.8M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves based on whether the candidate wins and formally accepts the Democratic nomination for president in 2028. Resolution relies on a consensus of official party sources rather than a single designated URL, but major political party presidential nominations are unambiguous, widely certified events. The rules specifically clarify that subsequent replacements of the nominee before election day will not alter the initial nomination outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether J.B. Pritzker wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028. Resolution does not change if the nominee is subsequently replaced before election day.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if J.B. Pritzker wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. The market resolves to No otherwise. If the Democratic nominee is replaced before election day, it will not alter the market's resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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