Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$2.1M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria clearly specify that the named individual must both win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The resolution source relies on a consensus of official party sources rather than designating a single specific document or website, but the official nominee of a major party convention is an unambiguous public outcome. Additionally, the rules explicitly clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not retroactively alter the resolution outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Hakeem Jeffries wins and accepts the Democratic nomination for U.S. president in 2028. A subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the market resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Hakeem Jeffries wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the Democratic nominee before election day does not change the resolution. The market is resolved using a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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