Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$43.5M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The market has straightforward criteria, resolving positively only if the candidate officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The resolution mechanism relies on a consensus among official Democratic Party sources rather than citing a specific document or roll-call tally, introducing minor interpretive latitude, though official party nominations are rarely contested in reporting. An explicit clause clarifies that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before the general election does not alter the outcome once the nomination is secured.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether George Clooney wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if George Clooney wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Any replacement of the Democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
Consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.