Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
1.45¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.45%
$11.5M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome conditions are straightforward and align with the standard political process: the named candidate must formally win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Resolution relies on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources rather than a single specifically designated document or URL, but major party presidential nominations are unambiguous public events. The rules also clarify that any potential replacement of the nominee later in the campaign cycle will not alter the market outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ro Khanna will win and accept the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president. Notably, any replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not alter the market's resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ro Khanna wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Any subsequent replacement of the Democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution. The market is decided by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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