Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$54.4M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market has straightforward criteria requiring the specified individual to both win and formally accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources rather than a single specifically cited URL, but official party roll calls and convention decisions are unambiguous in practice. The rules also clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee after acceptance will not alter the outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Oprah Winfrey will win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Notably, any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not alter the resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Oprah Winfrey wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. A replacement of the nominee before election day will not change this resolution. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources decides the outcome.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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