Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.55¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.55%
$12.1M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves to Yes if Gretchen Whitmer officially wins and accepts the Democratic nomination for president in 2028. Resolution relies on a consensus of official party sources, which leaves minor room for interpretation on what constitutes consensus, but major party nominations are formal, public events with definitive outcomes. The rules also explicitly note that if the nominee is replaced after winning and accepting the nomination, it will not overturn a Yes resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Gretchen Whitmer will win and accept the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. A subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the resolution.
How it resolves
This market resolves to Yes if Gretchen Whitmer wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Any replacement of the Democratic nominee before election day does not change this resolution. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. Resolution is decided by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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