EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-06 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →
Ben Cline (R) · 7 daysFlat at 94%
Markets
2,512 live Polymarket markets in 784 eventsHide Low tradability784 cards · 2,512 markets
- LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver8.5¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 6–9.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-31 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 4.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver6.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 6.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.05¢−1.9¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–5.95¢ - LowGotcha
Will Alberta join the US?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.8¢+0.75¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.05–3.6¢ - LowGotcha
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver1.9¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.85–2.2¢ - MedGotcha
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions5.5¢−0.35¢ 7d7 daysRange 5.5–7.4¢ - MedGotcha
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions1.3¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 1–1.4¢ - LowGotcha
Trump goes to space in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver1.65¢−0.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.65–2.05¢ - MedGotcha
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions7.7¢+0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.5–9.65¢ - LowGotcha
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks3.1¢+0.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.45–3.2¢ - MedGotcha
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.15¢−0.2¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 2.15–2.35¢ - MedGotcha
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording3.75¢−1.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.6–5.2¢ - MedGotcha
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver2.25¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.1–2.35¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.4¢−0.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.2–3.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks0.95¢+0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.7–1.45¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks4.55¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.05–5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.1¢+1.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 1–2.2¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks9.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 9.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.95¢−0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.55–2.45¢ - MedGotcha
Is Earth flat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording0.5¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.5–0.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.3¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.2–1.8¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.85¢+1.3¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 1.45–3.25¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.05¢−0.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.05–1.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks96.85¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 96.85¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.25¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.7–1.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.25¢−0.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 1–1.85¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.95¢+0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.45–2.35¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Julia Letlow (R) · 7 daysRange 93–94% - LowGotcha
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks14¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 13.5–14¢ - LowGotcha
Will Angélica María Dueñas win the CA-29 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.9¢+0.15¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 4.5–4.9¢ - LowGotcha
Will Samantha Mota win the CA-37 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.6¢−0.25¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 3.5–4.25¢ - MedGotcha
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver2.7¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.7–3.15¢ - MedGotcha
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.8¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.75–2.9¢ - LowGotcha
Obama arrested before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.65¢−0.7¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.5–2.35¢ - MedGotcha
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions1.5¢−1.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.1–2.7¢ - LowGotcha
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.45¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.4–1.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions1.8¢−0.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.65–2.25¢ - LowGotcha
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions0.85¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 0.85¢ - MedGotcha
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions32.5¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 31.5–34.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMWordingExceptions2.3¢−0.6¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 2.3–2.9¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Turek 0-3% · Since Oct 14Range 30–35% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Jackson 3-6% · Since Oct 17Range 27–33% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →El-Sayed 3-6% · Since Oct 18Range 25–26% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 0%-3%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions10.55¢+0.1¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 10.4–10.8¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions21.5¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 21.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions0.05¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 0.05¢