VA-06 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Ben Cline (R) at 94% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $121.7K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Virginia's 6th congressional district (VA-06). Its markets measure which political party or candidate will win the congressional seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains distinct outcome options representing the political parties/candidates competing for the seat. Because only one candidate can win the VA-06 House seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate associated with that party wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Candidate party affiliation is based on ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus at the time all 2026 House elections are called. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results if reporting is ambiguous.
Key dates
- 2026 midterm election date: — The midterm elections will take place on this date.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if ambiguous
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Cline (R) | 94% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Beth Macy (D) | 7% | ±0 | Low | High |