Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?
Current price
2.7¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.7%
$1.5K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The condition is straightforward, requiring photographic or video evidence of a physical handshake between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy before the deadline of December 31, 2026. However, no primary official source or registry is designated to make the call. Instead, resolution depends on photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting, leaving the determination of what constitutes credible reporting or acceptable verification to market arbiters. The title also omits the specific year, though the detailed rules clarify the 2026 cutoff.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31, 2026. Resolution requires video or photographic proof verified by credible reporting.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, provided there is video or photographic evidence of the handshake. The market resolves to No if no such handshake occurs with the required evidence by the deadline. Resolution is determined using photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Handshake deadline: — Latest time for a qualifying handshake to occur (11:59 PM ET).
Resolution source
Photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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