Louisiana Senate Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Julia Letlow (R) at 93% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $49.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election. Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat, accounting for potential run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate markets representing different political parties or candidates. Because only one winner can be elected to the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on the winner of the 2026 Louisiana U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. A market resolves Yes if the nominee representing that specific party wins the election; otherwise, it resolves No. Independent candidates are not encompassed by Democratic or Republican options. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market resolves based on the replacement. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or alternatively based on official state certification if the sources do not reach consensus.
Key dates
- Election Year: 2026 midterm election inclusive of any run-offs Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Letlow (R) | 93% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Jamie Davis (D) | 8% | ±0 | Low | Med |