EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Change in points, 24hView event →
Politics markets
66 live Polymarket markets in 38 events- EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Hormuz Agreement · 7 daysRange 86–97% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Hormuz Agreement · 7 daysRange 80–95% - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%46%▲ 6Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%23%▼ 10Lula da Silva <4%21%▲ 2Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%9%▲ 1Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+3%▲ 1+3 more outcomesView event → - MedGotcha
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions72.5¢+24¢ 7d7 daysRange 48.5–74.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Peltola 3-6% · Since Oct 18Range 30–36% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu28%▼ 5Naftali Bennett14%▲ 1Avigdor Lieberman3%±0Itamar Ben Gvir<1%±0Ofer Winter<1%±0+2 more outcomesView event → - MedGotcha
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverTimingExceptions21.5¢−3¢ 7d7 daysRange 21.5–25.5¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Jackson 0-3% · Since Oct 18Range 25–28% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Premier of British Columbia
Change in points, 24hView event →Lorne Doerkson · 7 daysRange 75–81% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Jackson 3-6% · Since Oct 17Range 27–33% - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMExceptionsResolverWording27¢+0.5¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 25.5–27.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver60.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 58.5–60.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 4 MEDIUMResolverTimingWording+133.85¢+2.7¢ 7d7 daysRange 31.15–35.75¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions15.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 15.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming3.9¢−1.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–6.05¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming34.5¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 32.5–34.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming95.9¢+0.15¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 95.35–96.05¢ - MedGotcha
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming94.95¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 94.15–95.65¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming95¢+1¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 94–95¢ - MedGotcha
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions5.5¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 5.5¢ - MedGotcha
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMTimingExceptions89¢−2.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 89–91.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions15.5¢+4¢ 7d7 daysRange 11.5–15.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming6.5¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 5–8.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions2.6¢−1.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.25–3.75¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Change in points, 24hView event →Cory Booker · 7 daysFlat at 2% - MedGotcha
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions7.7¢+0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.25–9.65¢ - MedGotcha
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions4.1¢+0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.4–4.65¢ - MedGotcha
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions6.95¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.7–8.05¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming62.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 62.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMWordingExceptions19.5¢+2¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 17.5–19.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsWording38¢+1¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 37–38.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions25¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 25¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions33¢+1.5¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 31.5–33¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMWordingExceptions19.5¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 19.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions22.5¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 22.5¢