Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$40.3M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward and objective. The market specifies three named media organizations—the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC—and requires all three to reach consensus by calling the race for the same candidate before resolving. A definitive fallback is also defined: if consensus is not reached by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on the individual who is officially inaugurated as president. There are no subjective judgment calls or ambiguous conditions.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Kim Kardashian will win the 2028 United States presidential election.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Kim Kardashian wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves No if any other candidate wins. Resolution is decided by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC once all three outlets call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place.
- Inauguration Date: — Fallback resolution deadline based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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