Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current price
0.85¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.85%
$10.9M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution conditions are straightforward and leave little room for ambiguity. The market specifies three major news organizations—the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC—and requires all three to reach a consensus call before resolving early. If full consensus among these designated outlets is not reached prior to January 20, 2029, the market provides a clear, objective fallback based on whichever individual is inaugurated.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ro Khanna will win the 2028 US Presidential Election. Resolution requires consensus across three specified media networks or falls back to whoever is inaugurated.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ro Khanna wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves to No if another person wins the election. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The scheduled date for the 2028 US Presidential Election.
- Inauguration Date: — Fallback resolution deadline if the three media sources have not reached consensus.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or the presidential inauguration)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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