Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current price
0.95¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.95%
$12.7M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules are straightforward and standard for presidential election markets. Resolution is pegged to consensus calls across three specific major media networks (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC). If all three outlets do not project the same winner before January 20, 2029, the market relies on an unambiguous fallback: who is officially inaugurated. There is minimal ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Wes Moore will win the 2028 US Presidential Election. Resolution depends on a consensus call among three specific media outlets or falls back to whoever is inaugurated.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Wes Moore wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves No if another candidate wins the election. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place.
- Inauguration Day: — Fallback resolution occurs based on who is inaugurated if media sources have not reached consensus.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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