Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current price
0.35¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.35%
$15.6M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution with named, specific media networks (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) and require unanimous agreement among all three to resolve early. There is also a clear, unambiguous fallback deadline tied directly to who is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, if the networks do not reach consensus before then. The mechanics leave minimal room for ambiguity or decider latitude.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Gretchen Whitmer will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Gretchen Whitmer wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves No if another candidate wins. The outcome is determined when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The scheduled date for the 2028 US Presidential Election.
- Inauguration Day: — Fallback resolution occurs based on who is inaugurated if all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by this date.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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