Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current price
0.65¢
+0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.65%
$13.2M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly defined and rely on specific major news networks (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) reaching consensus on the race winner. A clear fallback is included: if all three outlets have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based directly on who is inaugurated as president. The rules align closely with standard presidential election outcomes without ambiguous terms or subjective deciders.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether JB Pritzker will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if JB Pritzker wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The primary resolution requires the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC to all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, resolution is based on who is inaugurated.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place.
- Inauguration Day: — Fallback date to resolve based on who is inaugurated if media sources have not reached consensus.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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