Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$511.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clear and straightforward. The market resolves once three specific, named media organizations (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) all call the election for the same candidate. In the event of a dispute or delayed calls where all three outlets do not agree, the rules provide a definitive backstop resolving to whoever is officially inaugurated on January 20, 2029.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Rick Scott will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Rick Scott wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves No if another candidate wins or is inaugurated. Resolution is determined once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Scheduled date for the 2028 US Presidential Election.
- Inauguration Day: — Fallback resolution deadline based on who is inaugurated if media sources have not all called the race.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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