Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$38M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide clear and objective resolution criteria. Resolution is triggered as soon as three explicitly named major news organizations—the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC—all call the presidential race for the same candidate. In the event that these outlets do not reach a unanimous call prior to January 20, 2029, a definitive and unambiguous fallback resolves the market based on who is officially inaugurated. There is negligible discretion and no complex exceptional conditions.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Vivek Ramaswamy will win the 2028 United States presidential election.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves No if any other candidate wins the election. The outcome is determined when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The scheduled date of the 2028 US Presidential Election.
- Inauguration Day: — Fallback resolution deadline if all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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