Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current price
0.35¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.35%
$11.1M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clear and rely on a strict consensus mechanism. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all project the same winner. If a consensus call is not reached before Inauguration Day on January 20, 2029, the market explicitly falls back to whoever is officially inaugurated. There are no subjective judgment calls or unusual clauses.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jamie Dimon will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jamie Dimon wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The outcome is decided once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the presidential race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated as president.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place.
- Inauguration Date: — Fallback resolution deadline if all three media sources have not called the race for the same candidate.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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