EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
Change in points, 24hView event →
December 31 · Since Oct 14Range 24–27%
Geopolitics markets
166 live Polymarket markets in 99 events- MedGotcha
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions5.5¢−2¢ 7d7 daysRange 5.5–7.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver3.15¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.15–3.55¢ - MedGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 15 PTS
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions98.5¢+15.55¢ 7d7 daysRange 81.05–98.5¢ · explanation pending - MedGotcha
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording5.15¢−19.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.35–25.35¢ - MedGotcha
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions2.1¢−1.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.05–4.65¢ - MedGotcha
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording26¢+0.5¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 25.5–26.5¢ - MedGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 13 PTS
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording33.5¢+2¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NEWS“Zelenskiy Slams Trump's Russia Diesel Deal as Ukraine Peace Talks Stall”econotimes.com · 16 Oct - MedGotcha
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording6.5¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 5.5–6.5¢ - EVENT · 11 OUTCOMES
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
+6 more outcomesView event → - MedGotcha
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverExceptionsWording2.85¢−1.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.8–4.85¢ - MedGotcha
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording3.75¢−1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.6–5.25¢ - MedGotcha
Modi out by June 30, 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions10.5¢−6¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.5–16.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMExceptionsResolverWording2¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.95–2.25¢ - MedGotcha
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording3.1¢−0.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.45–3.85¢ - MedGotcha
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions6.5¢−2¢ 7d7 daysRange 6.5–8.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver6¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–6¢ - MedGotcha
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions7.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.5–8.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMWordingExceptions0.55¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.55–0.75¢ - MedGotcha
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3.95¢+0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.45–5¢ - MedGotcha
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions5.5¢+0.7¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–6.7¢ - MedGotcha
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3.55¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–3.7¢ - MedGotcha
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverExceptions82.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 82.5¢ - MedGotcha
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions5.1¢+0.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.15–5.75¢ - MedGotcha
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions1.5¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.5–1.75¢ - MedGotcha
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions1.5¢−1.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.1–2.7¢ - MedGotcha
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.85¢+2.2¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 0.65–4¢ - MedGotcha
US x China Military clash before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.5¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.4–2.85¢ - MedGotcha
Iran Nuke before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.95¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.95–4.45¢ - MedGotcha
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording3.6¢+0.55¢ 7d7 daysRange 3–3.6¢ - MedGotcha
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording7¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 7–7.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording15.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 15.5–19¢ - MedGotcha
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording5¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–6¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording22.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 22.5–25¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →June 30, 2027 · 7 daysRange 7–9% - MedGotcha
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.75¢−0.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.45–3.15¢ - MedGotcha
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.15¢+0.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.5–2.95¢ - MedGotcha
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording3.3¢−0.7¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.05–4.35¢ - MedGotcha
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3¢−0.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 3–3.5¢ - MedGotcha
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver2.25¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.1–2.35¢ - MedGotcha
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions9¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.5–9¢ - MedGotcha
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverExceptions4.05¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.45–4.3¢ - MedGotcha
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptionsTiming+11¢+0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.75–2.75¢ - MedGotcha
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver2.7¢−0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.7–3.15¢ - MedGotcha
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.8¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.75–2.9¢ - MedGotcha
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver5.4¢+2¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.35–6.7¢ - MedGotcha
China coup attempt before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3.75¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.45–4.15¢