EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →
June 30, 2027 · 7 daysRange 7–9%
Markets
318 live Polymarket markets in 194 events- MedGotcha
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver1.5¢−0.35¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 1.45–1.85¢ - MedGotcha
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming94.95¢−0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 94.15–95.65¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming95¢+1¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 94–95¢ - MedGotcha
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions5.5¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 5.5¢ - MedGotcha
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMTimingExceptions89¢−2.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 89–91.5¢ - MedGotcha
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording5¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–6¢ - MedGotcha
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions15.5¢+4¢ 7d7 daysRange 11.5–15.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording22.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 22.5–25¢ - MedGotcha
Will Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions25.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 25.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions19.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 19.5–20¢ - MedGotcha
Will Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions13.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 13–13.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMExceptionsResolverTiming12.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 12.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsTiming23.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 23.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.75¢−0.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.45–3.15¢ - MedGotcha
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.15¢+0.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.5–2.95¢ - MedGotcha
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording3.2¢−0.55¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.05–4.35¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming6.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 5–8.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions2.65¢+0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.25–3.1¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Change in points, 24hView event →Cory Booker · 7 daysFlat at 2% - MedGotcha
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions5.55¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 5.5–7.4¢ - MedGotcha
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions1.05¢−0.35¢ 7d7 daysRange 1–1.4¢ - MedGotcha
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions7.7¢+0.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.25–9.65¢ - MedGotcha
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.15¢−0.2¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 2.15–2.35¢ - MedGotcha
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3¢−0.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 3–3.5¢ - MedGotcha
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver2.25¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.1–2.35¢ - MedGotcha
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions4.1¢+0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.4–4.65¢ - MedGotcha
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions6.95¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.7–8.05¢ - MedGotcha
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions9¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.5–9¢ - MedGotcha
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverExceptions4.1¢+0.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.45–4.3¢ - MedGotcha
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptionsTiming+11¢+0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.75–2.75¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming62.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 62.5¢ - MedGotcha
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver2.7¢−0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.7–3.15¢ - MedGotcha
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording2.8¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.75–2.9¢ - MedGotcha
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver5.35¢+1.95¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.35–6.7¢ - MedGotcha
Will Trump resign before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMExceptionsResolverWording2.25¢−0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.25–2.55¢ - MedGotcha
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions1.8¢−0.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.65–2.25¢ - MedGotcha
China coup attempt before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3.75¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.45–4.15¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsWording38¢+1¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 37–38.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions25¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 25¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions33¢+1.5¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 31.5–33¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMWordingExceptions19.5¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 19.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions22.5¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 22.5¢ - MedGotcha
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions2.85¢+0.35¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.3–3.05¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMWording1.65¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.65–2¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions1.2¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.15–2.25¢