Will Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?
Current price
12.5¢
Implied probability 12.5%
$28.7 total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the match result at the end of regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). While official governing body statistics serve as the primary source, there is a clear hierarchy of backup sources including Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus reporting if primary data is delayed. Participants should be aware of two critical exceptional clauses: if the match is canceled entirely without a replay, the market resolves to Yes rather than canceling or voiding; and if the match is postponed, the market remains open indefinitely until completion, presenting extended timing risk.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Med
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the soccer match between Sporting CP and LASK Linz ends in a draw. Notably, if the game is canceled entirely without a make-up match, the market resolves to Yes.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw within regular play plus stoppage time (first 90 minutes plus injury time), or if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. The market resolves to No if either team wins. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it finishes. If no acceptable data exists within 24 hours of completion, it resolves 50-50 or to Draw. The primary deciding source is the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, followed by Flashscore after 2 hours, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date the match is scheduled to take place
Resolution source
The official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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