Will Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
Current price
25.5¢
Implied probability 25.5%
$39.6 total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define regular time plus stoppage time and establish a clear hierarchy of resolution sources starting with official match statistics. However, there is a significant exceptional clause: if the match is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves to Yes rather than canceling, voiding, or resolving 50-50. Additionally, if no data is available within 24 hours of completion, it resolves to 50-50 or Draw where applicable.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the soccer match between Lille OSC and Galatasaray SK ends in a draw within regular play and stoppage time. Notably, the market also resolves to Yes if the game is completely canceled with no make-up match.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw at the end of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. It resolves to No if either team wins. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable. Resolution is decided by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, falling back to Flashscore after 2 hours, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The match is scheduled for this date.
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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