Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define what constitutes taking office, requiring formal presidential appointment and a successful vote of confidence in Parliament to form a new government. Caretaker or interim prime ministers who do not clear a parliamentary vote of confidence are explicitly excluded. The resolution relies primarily on official statements from the Government of Romania, with credible media consensus available as a secondary reference. The long deadline of December 31, 2027 gives ample time for standard government formation processes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Elena Lasconi becomes the next Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027. Resolution requires both formal presidential appointment and a parliamentary vote of confidence, explicitly excluding caretaker appointments without confirmation.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Elena Lasconi officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, following formal appointment by the President and a parliamentary vote of confidence forming a new government. The market resolves No if another individual officially assumes the office under these conditions first. Interim or caretaker Prime Ministers who do not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence do not count. The market resolves to Other if no qualifying Prime Minister takes office by the deadline. Official information from the Government of Romania decides resolution, supported by a consensus of credible reporting if needed.
Key dates
- Market deadline: — Market resolves to Other if no qualifying Prime Minister takes office by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Government of Romania
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