Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria clearly specify the legal and constitutional steps required for an individual to qualify, requiring both formal presidential appointment and a successful vote of confidence in Parliament to form a new government. Interim or caretaker prime ministers without parliamentary confirmation are explicitly excluded. The primary resolution authority is official Romanian government information, though the rules permit a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary reference. A clear expiration date of December 31, 2027, is provided if no new prime minister assumes office.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Sebastian Burduja will become the next Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027. To qualify, the appointment requires both formal presidential appointment and a parliamentary vote of confidence, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker leaders who lack parliamentary approval.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Sebastian Burduja is the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, requiring formal appointment by the President of Romania and a parliamentary vote of confidence that officially forms a new government. The market resolves No if a different individual officially assumes the office meeting those same conditions before him. The market resolves to Other if no qualifying Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Interim or caretaker Prime Ministers who do not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence do not count toward resolution. Official information from the Government of Romania decides the outcome, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Market expiration deadline: — December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET is the cutoff for a qualifying Prime Minister to take office before the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting
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