Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define the exact constitutional steps required to count as the next Prime Minister: formal appointment by the President and confirmation through a parliamentary vote of confidence. Caretaker or interim appointments that bypass a parliamentary vote are explicitly excluded. Resolution relies primarily on official Romanian government announcements, though a consensus of credible reporting is permitted as a secondary source. The deadline is clearly stated, and the outcome conditions leave little room for subjective interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ciprian Ciucu will be the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027. A notable condition is that interim or caretaker prime ministers without a parliamentary vote of confidence do not qualify.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Ciprian Ciucu is the next person to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, after being formally appointed by the President and winning a vote of confidence from Parliament. The market resolves No if another individual fulfills these criteria first. The market resolves to Other if no qualifying Prime Minister takes office by the deadline. Interim or caretaker Prime Ministers without a parliamentary vote of confidence are disregarded. Official information from the Government of Romania serves as the primary source, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Market cutoff at 11:59 PM ET for a new Prime Minister to take office.
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting
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