Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define what constitutes taking office as Prime Minister of Romania, specifically requiring both formal presidential appointment and a parliamentary vote of confidence, while explicitly excluding unconfirmed interim or caretaker appointments. The long-stop deadline is precise. Official government announcements serve as the primary source, with consensus media reporting available as a secondary reference, leaving minimal room for subjective dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
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Market explained
This market measures whether Mircea Geoană will become the next Prime Minister of Romania by the end of 2027, with the requirement that the appointee must receive a parliamentary vote of confidence.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Mircea Geoană is the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, following formal appointment by the President and a vote of confidence from Parliament forming a new government. The market resolves No if another individual assumes the office under these conditions first. Interim or caretaker Prime Ministers who do not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence do not count toward resolution. The market resolves to Other if no qualifying Prime Minister takes office by the deadline. Resolution is determined by official information from the Government of Romania or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — A qualifying Prime Minister must officially take office by this date and time.
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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