Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the constitutional steps required for an individual to count as the next Prime Minister, requiring formal presidential appointment and a parliamentary vote of confidence that establishes a new government. Interim or caretaker leaders who lack a confidence vote are explicitly excluded. The primary source is official Romanian government announcements, backed by credible reporting. A clear end-date deadline of December 31, 2027, is provided, with explicit fallback to 'Other' if no eligible prime minister takes office before then.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
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Market explained
This market measures whether Vasile Dîncu will become the next Prime Minister of Romania by the end of 2027. To qualify, an individual must receive a parliamentary vote of confidence, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker prime ministers who lack one.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Vasile Dîncu is the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, following formal appointment by the President of Romania and a vote of confidence from Parliament. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count. The market resolves to No if another individual officially assumes the office under these conditions first. The market resolves to Other if no qualifying Prime Minister takes office by the deadline. Official information from the Government of Romania serves as the primary resolution source, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Market resolution deadline: — Deadline by which a qualifying Prime Minister must officially take office
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting
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