Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the constitutional requirements necessary for resolution: the individual must be formally appointed by the President and secure a vote of confidence in Parliament to form a new government. Interim or caretaker prime ministers without a parliamentary confidence vote are explicitly excluded. The market relies primarily on official government announcements with credible news reporting as a secondary reference, leaving minimal room for subjective interpretation before the December 31, 2027 deadline.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Hunor Kelemen will be the next individual to assume the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027. To qualify, the appointment requires both formal presidential appointment and a parliamentary vote of confidence, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker leaders who lack parliamentary confirmation.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Hunor Kelemen officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, having been formally appointed by the President of Romania and receiving a vote of confidence from Parliament. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence does not count. The market resolves No if another individual officially assumes the office under these qualifying conditions first. The market resolves to Other if no individual takes office under these conditions by the deadline. The outcome is determined using official information from the Government of Romania, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline for a qualified Prime Minister to officially assume office.
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting
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