Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define what constitutes taking office, requiring formal presidential appointment and a parliamentary vote of confidence, while explicitly excluding interim or caretaker prime ministers who lack parliamentary confirmation. Official Romanian government announcements serve as the primary source, supplemented by credible reporting if necessary, and a definitive deadline of December 31, 2027 is provided.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Dacian Cioloș becomes the next officially confirmed Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Dacian Cioloș officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, having been formally appointed by the President and confirmed via a parliamentary vote of confidence to form a new government. Interim or caretaker Prime Ministers who do not receive a vote of confidence from Parliament do not count. The market resolves No if another individual meets these criteria and takes office first. The market resolves to Other if no qualifying Prime Minister takes office by the December 31, 2027 deadline. The outcome is determined using official information from the Government of Romania or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution cutoff deadline: — December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting
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