Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
0.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.5%
$367.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria clearly specify the constitutional requirements necessary for an individual to qualify as the next Prime Minister, explicitly requiring formal presidential appointment and a parliamentary vote of confidence while excluding interim or caretaker appointees who lack that vote. The deadline is definite, and resolution relies on official government announcements with credible reporting as a secondary check.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Eugen Tomac will become the next Prime Minister of Romania. Resolution specifically requires both presidential appointment and parliamentary approval, excluding caretaker or interim leaders who do not receive a vote of confidence.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Eugen Tomac is the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. To count, he must be formally appointed by the President and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament to officially form a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not secure a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count. The market resolves No if another individual assumes the office first under these same conditions. The market resolves to Other if no qualifying Prime Minister takes office by the deadline. Resolution is based on official information from the Government of Romania, with a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary source.
Key dates
- Market deadline: — Deadline for a Prime Minister to take office with parliamentary approval
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting
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