Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define what constitutes taking office, requiring both formal presidential appointment and a parliamentary vote of confidence to form a new government. Caretaker and interim appointments that lack parliamentary approval are explicitly excluded. The primary resolution source is official documentation from the Romanian government, backed by credible reporting, and a clear deadline of December 31, 2027 is specified.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Raluca Turcan will become the next officially appointed Prime Minister of Romania, distinguished by the requirement for both presidential appointment and parliamentary confidence, excluding interim or caretaker officeholders.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Raluca Turcan officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania. To count, she must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, leading to the official formation of a new government. The market resolves No if an individual other than Raluca Turcan officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania under the same conditions (presidential appointment and parliamentary confidence). Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count for either Yes or No resolution. The market resolves Other if no individual officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, under the specified conditions. The resolution will be determined by official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Market close date: — The deadline for a Prime Minister to take office for resolution.
Resolution source
official information from the Government of Romania
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