Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria clearly specify the constitutional requirements necessary to count: formal appointment by the President of Romania and a successful vote of confidence in Parliament resulting in a new government. The rules explicitly exclude interim or caretaker prime ministers who do not win a parliamentary vote of confidence. Official Romanian government announcements serve as the primary source, with credible news reporting as a secondary fallback. The market has a definitive longstop date of December 31, 2027.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Mugur Isărescu will be the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Mugur Isărescu officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania as the next individual to do so by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, officially forming a new government; interim or caretaker Prime Ministers without a parliamentary vote of confidence do not count. The market resolves No if another qualifying individual assumes the office first. The market resolves to Other if no qualifying Prime Minister takes office by the deadline. The primary deciding source is official information from the Government of Romania, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline for a new Prime Minister to take office before the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting
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