Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Last captured price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$84.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify what is required for an individual to qualify as the next Prime Minister: formal presidential appointment and a successful vote of confidence in Parliament resulting in a new government. Caretaker or interim appointments lacking parliamentary confirmation are explicitly excluded. Resolution relies on official government sources, with secondary recourse to reporting consensus if needed, and a clear long-term expiration date is set for resolving to Other if no qualifying government forms.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Calin Georgescu will become the next Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027. To qualify, the appointment requires both presidential appointment and a parliamentary vote of confidence, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointees who lack parliamentary approval.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Calin Georgescu officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, following formal appointment by the President and a vote of confidence from Parliament that forms a new government. The market resolves No if another individual officially assumes the office under these same requirements first. Interim or caretaker Prime Ministers who do not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence are disregarded. The market resolves to Other if no qualified Prime Minister takes office by the December 31, 2027 deadline. Resolution is determined using official information from the Government of Romania, supported by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Cutoff deadline: — Deadline by which the next Prime Minister must officially assume office.
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting
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