Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$131.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define what constitutes taking office as Prime Minister, specifically requiring formal presidential appointment and a parliamentary vote of confidence. Caretaker or interim appointments that do not secure a parliamentary vote of confidence are explicitly excluded. The primary source relies on official government announcements with credible news reporting as a backup, and a clear deadline of December 31, 2027 is specified.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Radu Burnete will become the next officially appointed Prime Minister of Romania, distinguishing between formally confirmed officeholders and interim appointments.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Radu Burnete is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Romania by the President and receives a vote of confidence from Parliament, forming a new government, by December 31, 2027. The market resolves No if any other individual is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Romania by the President and receives a vote of confidence from Parliament, forming a new government, by December 31, 2027. Interim or caretaker Prime Ministers who do not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence do not count. The market resolves Other if no individual officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027. The resolution is determined by official information from the Government of Romania, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Market close date:
Resolution source
Government of Romania
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