Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
9.5¢
+0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 9.5%
$2M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has clear and deterministic resolution criteria. Outcome determination relies exclusively on 1-minute candle data for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, specifically evaluating whether the final High price touches or exceeds $110,000 within the specified timeframe. The market resolves immediately upon meeting the threshold or resolves to No after December 31, 2026, leaving minimal ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $110,000 before the end of 2026. Resolution is strictly based on 1-minute candle data for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for the Binance BTC/USDT pair has a final High price of $110,000 or greater between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $110,000 within this time frame. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart; price data from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets is disregarded.
Key dates
- Start Date: — Tracking window begins at 14:00 ET.
- End Date: — Tracking window closes at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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