Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
1.35¢
−0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.35%
$579.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide clear, objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is tied strictly to the high price of one-minute candles for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance within a clearly specified timeframe. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the target threshold is reached at any point during the window, or to No after the deadline passes. The single resolution source and explicit chart parameters leave virtually no room for decider discretion or ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $180,000 before the end of 2026. Resolution is based strictly on 1-minute candle data from a single exchange and trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT records a final High price of $180,000 or higher between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if that price threshold is not reached during the specified period. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded. Binance 1-minute chart data for BTC/USDT decides the outcome.
Key dates
- Tracking start: — Price monitoring begins at 14:00 ET.
- Tracking end: — Price monitoring concludes at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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