Republican VP Nominee 2028
13 live outcomes · highest priced: Marco Rubio at 30% · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $53.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will be selected as the Republican Party's vice-presidential nominee for the 2028 presidential election cycle, featuring individual markets for various potential candidates.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of candidate-specific markets. Because the rules specify resolution based on the first individual formally nominated who accepts the nomination, only one market can resolve Yes, while all other candidate markets resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the named individual is the first person to be formally nominated for Vice President by the Republican Party in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official GOP sources.
Key dates
- 2028 presidential election cycle: The year 2028 is specified for the election cycle, but no specific date or deadline is stated in the rules.
Resolution source
A consensus of official GOP sources, including gop.com
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Rubio | 30% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| J.D. Vance | 6% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Donald Trump | 4% | ▲ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Ron DeSantis | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Glenn Youngkin | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 2% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Nikki Haley | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Elon Musk | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Eric Trump | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Byron Donalds | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Kim Kardashian | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Donald Trump Jr. | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Greg Abbott | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Brian Kemp | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Elise Stefanik | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Josh Hawley | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Ted Cruz | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Matt Gaetz | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Katie Britt | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| John Thune | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Kristi Noem | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Mike Pence | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Tucker Carlson | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Ivanka Trump | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Tom Brady | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Rand Paul | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Steve Bannon | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Erika Kirk | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Thomas Massie | — | — | Low | High | |
| Joe Kent | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Pete Hegseth | — | — | Not rated | — |