Will Tucker Carlson be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Last captured price
2.1¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.1%
$886.2 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves straightforwardly based on the first person to be formally nominated and accept the Republican nomination for Vice President in 2028. Resolution relies on official Republican Party sources, including the party's official website, leaving minimal room for subjective judgment. A standard clause specifies that any subsequent replacement of the nominee after formal acceptance will not alter the outcome, which aligns with standard convention procedures.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Tucker Carlson will be the first person to formally accept the Republican nomination for Vice President in the 2028 U.S. presidential election. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not alter the outcome.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Tucker Carlson is the first individual formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept the nomination. A consensus of official GOP sources, including gop.com, decides the resolution. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the market resolution.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official GOP sources, including gop.com
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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