Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
1.8¢
+0.25¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.8%
$779.7 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the first person to receive and accept the formal Republican Party nomination for Vice President in the 2028 election cycle. Resolution relies on official party channels such as the official Republican Party website. The terms clearly specify that subsequent replacements after the initial formal acceptance do not alter the outcome, leaving very little room for dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Vivek Ramaswamy will be the Republican Party's Vice-Presidential nominee for the 2028 US presidential election. The market resolves based on the first formally nominated and accepting individual, regardless of any subsequent changes.
How it resolves
This market resolves Yes if Vivek Ramaswamy is the first individual formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. This market resolves No if any other individual is the first formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution will be determined by a consensus of official GOP sources, including www.gop.com.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·
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