Will Nikki Haley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
1.45¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.45%
$1.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party and accept that nomination for the 2028 cycle. The resolution basis relies on official party channels, specifically referencing the official GOP website. Additionally, the rules explicitly note that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the outcome, preventing ambiguity if a nominee steps down or is replaced later in the campaign.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Nikki Haley becomes the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee. Resolution depends strictly on the first person to formally accept the nomination, regardless of any subsequent replacements.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Nikki Haley is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept, or if Nikki Haley does not meet these criteria. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official GOP sources, including the official party website.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official GOP sources, including the official GOP website
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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